And we are back with our betting predictions. The NFL Week Four betting lines are set, and it’s time to get into it. We, unfortunately, had to miss last week, but it was for a good reason. Our website was going through a massive migration, and we now have our own server for hosting the website. It’s hugely positive news, but an unfortunate side effect was missing a week of football.
Despite missing last week, Andrew still wanted the picks he sent in to count towards the overall score. He went 8-8 while I had my best week going 10-6. Overall, not too shabby of a week.
Results Through Week 3
Jackson: 28-20
Andrew: 15-17
Adam: 7-9
Jackson
Denver @ New York Jets
DEN +1.5
The Jets are arguably the worst team in the league. While the Broncos are without a win, they are still a better team with a better defense. I’ll roll with the Broncos in this one.
Indianapolis @ Chicago
IND -2.5
I don’t understand how Chicago is 3-0. But their luck ends with the Colts. The Colts put up a stinker in week one, but have looked better since then, and Rivers is finding a nice groove—Colts win and cover.
Jacksonville @ Cincinnati
CIN -3
I think the Bengals will cover, and Burrow will get his first win as a starter this week. Both teams aren’t great, but I’ll go out on a limb here and pull for the Bengals.
Cleveland @ Dallas
DAL -4.5
While I’m not huge on the Cowboys, they’re a better football team than the Browns. The Browns have played the past few weeks nicely but against weak competition. They’re too inconsistent to roll with.
New Orleans @ Detroit
DET +4
I am starting to get really concerned about Brees. Each week he looks worse. I’ve gotta go with the more (mostly) consistent QB in this scenario.
Seattle @ Miami
SEA -6.5
As happy as I was to see my Dolphins play well last week, Seattle is an entirely different beast. Seattle has the worst defense in the league statistically, but it doesn’t matter when Wilson is playing at an MVP level. With Fitzpatrick as the starter, while grooming Tua, the Dolphins offense will be limited.
Los Angeles Chargers @ Tampa Bay
TB -3
Things are starting to clique for Brady and the Bucs. While I don’t think they’re Super Bowl winners, they win and cover against the Chargers.
Baltimore @ Washington
WAS +13
Listen, Baltimore is a good team and will be as long as Jackson doesn’t explode. But Washington’s defense is underrated. Ravens win, but Washington will cover.
Arizona @ Carolina
ARI -3
Last week’s loss doesn’t deter me from continuing to run with Murray and Hopkins. Carolina is without their best player, and Bridgewater can’t throw the deep ball like Stafford. Cardinals win and cover.
Minnesota @ Houston
MIN +4.5
Both teams suck. But someone (probably) will go home with a win. The Vikings get the slight edge because of their run game to win outright, but they’ll at least cover.
New York Giants @ Los Angeles Rams
LAR -12
Vegas needs to chill with these big bets. While +13 may seem like a lot for Washington against a good team, +12 isn’t for a bad Giants team against the Rams. While I’m not too comfortable with it, I’ll roll with my gut.
New England @ Kansas City
KC -7
Kansas City handled the Ravens pretty efficiently. Patriots have a similar quarterback with Cam and will run a similar scheme. The Chiefs will be fine.
Buffalo @ Las Vegas
BUF -3
Easy bet. Raiders still have a lot of questions on defense, while the Bills are rolling on offense. The Diggs trade is paying off big time, and Allen is showing a lot of improvement. They’ll keep rolling this week and cover.
Philadelphia @ San Francisco
PHI +7
I believe Philadelphia’s luck will turn around someday. The 49ers are better coached, but the Eagles will keep close, primarily due to nearly every significant player on the 49ers being injured.
Atlanta @ Green Bay
GB -7
Rodgers is playing very well. That is all.
Andrew
Denver @ New York Jets
DEN +1.5
The Jets suck. They’re really, really bad. Borderline disgraceful. And I’m a Jets fan saying all this. First, fans were told Adam Gase would no longer be the head coach if New York loses to Denver, which is reported as being not true. No matter what, my misery will continue when the Broncos whoop the Jets while starting a third-string QB.
Indianapolis @ Chicago
IND -2.5
Chicago is an anomaly. They’re flawed but undefeated. A terrible QB (Trubisky) was replaced by an overpaid QB (Foles), who started weak and then propelled the team to victory. Will they start 4-0? No. I’m all for the Colts at -2.5.
Jacksonville @ Cincinnati
JAX +3
Last year’s worst team versus the team many expected to be the worst this year—Bengals versus Jaguars. Cincinnati, despite winless, comes in at -3, PLEASE, take the Jaguars at +3. James Robinson is an animal. I watched him play last year while covering the FCS; the man can flat out ball. Big fantasy week from him as Jacksonville steamrolls the Bengals.
Cleveland @ Dallas
DAL -4.5
Cleveland has a winning record! Not for long. After their date with the Cowboys, the Browns will fall back down to .500. BUT, I believe Cleveland covers the 4.5 point spread.
New Orleans @ Detroit
NO -4
Alvin Kamara is fantastic, a great watch week in and week out, now a favorite of Drew Brees with short passes. Detroit’s defense is weak, and while Trey thinks Brees arm is done for, with Kamara able to run the ball through a defense and catch balls out of the backfield, the Saints will find ways to win. New Orleans covers the spread.
Seattle @ Miami
SEA -6.5
Russell Wilson has 14 passing touchdowns through three games. This game might as well be called a tune-up for the Seahawks. -6.5 spread will be easy for Seattle.
Los Angeles Chargers @ Tampa Bay
LAC +3
The Bucs have bounced back from a Week 1 loss to the Saints, but they haven’t left me feeling super confident. I think they beat the Chargers, but a 7 point spread is a little too much for me. LA loses but covers the spread.
Baltimore @ Washington
BAL -13
The Ravens are looking to bounce back from their thrashing at the hands of the Chiefs. Washington is the perfect team to destroy and regain confidence. Ravens with the spread.
Arizona @ Carolina
CAR +3
Not sure about this one, so I’m making my first money line pick of the season with the Cardinals. Kyler is fun to watch, especially with DeAndre Hopkins catching passes. Still, Teddy Bridgewater and Robby Anderson have become a fun duo to watch and surprise any team.
Minnesota @ Houston
MIN +4.5
Winless against winless. One team is led by a buffoon and the other has no luck. Take Minnesota +4.5 and watch them knock off the Texans.
New York Giants @ Los Angeles Rams
NYG +12
Rams coming in at -12.0 versus the Giants can either end up like last week’s Jets-Colts game, where it was a massive spread that the winning team covered, or the Giants ruin every betters day and lose by a few points. I’m going with the latter. Big Blue’s defense has been surprisingly decent and will keep the score close.
New England @ Kansas City
KC -7
Kansas City just wrecked the Ravens. For now, I don’t care who goes against them; I’m taking the Chiefs with the spread.
Buffalo @ Las Vegas
BUF -3
Alex thinks the Raiders are amazing and wonderful, fantastic, and all the other complimentary words. I don’t. Look for Buffalo to steamroll Las Vegas. -3? No problem.
Philadelphia @ San Francisco
SF -7
Carson Wentz has no offensive line. No offensive line, no winning, minimal scoring means big money for opposing bettors. Bet the 49ers with the spread.
Atlanta @ Green Bay
GB -7
Matt Ryan is due for an eye-popping game, but the Falcons can’t hold onto a lead. It’s comical. Plus, as y’all know, Aaron Rodgers is a baaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaad man. Packers with the spread.
