Recently I had my fantasy draft and AJ Brown was one of the targets I had in mind. I got my guy Davante Adams but Brown was a serious consideration for me. I love the talent but when it comes to fantasy, the equation isn’t so easy. Despite a ridiculous rookie season, his path towards fantasy greatness isn’t as cut and dry. The AJ Brown fantasy conundrum is real.
The talent of Brown is off the charts. Brown notched an insane 20.2 yards per catch as a rookie and lead the league in yards after contact. It may be weird to say but the picture of Brown and DK Metcalf flexing next to each other encapsulates what they are; bigger, stronger, and faster than you. More people should have known (like I did) that both of these guys would be studs.
Talent isn’t the question here. It’s this offense. Is 20 yards a catch repeatable? Can Ryan Tannehill play like he did a year ago? I’m going to guess no on both. More so, this is a run first offense. So let’s map this out. Run first offense and shaky quarterback play? That’s not a recipe a lot of receivers overcome. Just ask Larry Fitzgerald who was night and day a different fantasy player with and without Kurt Werner.
So can Brown be a fantasy superstar? It’s a risk I’m willing to take but one that could go either way. It would not shock me the Titans won 6 games this year. I’m not sure Tannehill’s performance was real. In fact, I’ll take the under on all his efficiency numbers a year ago. I love the talent but projecting his fantasy potential in 2020 seems very unclear.