Player Props to Target for the 2022 NFL Season: Week 6
Last week was frustrating to watch if you tailed our player prop plays. During Week 5, we went 2-3 on our plays but had the potential to have a more profitable slate. Mike Evans and Terry McLaurin smashed their projected totals in receiving yards. However, Saquon Barkley fell seven yards short, missing a drive due to injury, and also had a nine-yard run called back late in the fourth. Deebo Samuel saw the expected usage we projected, but only caught two out of the nine targets thrown his way. Lastly, Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati offense were shut down against Baltimore. Our five-week record now stands at 12-13. Hopefully, we can bounce back and move past the .500 mark with our favorite NFL player props for Week 6.
Jimmy Garoppolo OVER 230.5 Passing Yards @ ATL
Like last week, we found a play against the lousy Atlanta Falcons pass defense. Atlanta is ranked as the fourth-worst defense against the pass in 2022, allowing over 278 yards per game. With the 49ers rolling into Atlanta, Jimmy Garoppolo should find a way to shred them through the air. Garoppolo has found his rhythm in the past two weeks after starting the season as Trey Lance’s backup. Garoppolo has gone over this number in consecutive games. San Francisco shouldn’t blow the Falcons out, which would be ideal for Kyle Shanahan to stay aggressive throughout the game.
Kenneth Walker OVER 58.5 Rushing Yards vs ARI
The rookie running back out of Michigan State hasn’t been the featured back so far this season in a crowded Seattle backfield. However, with Rashaad Penny out, Kenneth Walker should be the featured back for the Seahawks moving forward. Last week, Walker rushed the ball eight times for 88 yards. We should expect Walker to have a more significant workload this week against the Cardinals. Without Penny, the only threat to take away carries from Walker is DeeJay Dallas, who only has four rushing attempts this season. This player prop play comes with exceptional value with Walker averaging six yards per carry this season.
Jakobi Meyers OVER 50.5 Receiving Yards @ CLE
So far this season, Jakobi Meyers has produced since being on the field. In only appearing in three games, Meyers has gone over 50 yards in all three games. Last week against Detroit, Meyers hauled in seven receptions for 111 yards and saw 13 targets two weeks ago against Pittsburgh. With Bailey Zappe under center, it seems like Meyers is his go-to receiver. One thing to keep in consideration is Mac Jones could potentially be back this week. However, even if Jones makes his return to the field, expect Meyers to still receive plenty of opportunities. Last season, he averaged eight targets per game with Jones playing.
Eno Benjamin 52.5 Rushing Yards vs ARI
Eno Benjamin is going to have quite a workload this weekend against Seattle. James Conner is expected to miss the game, and backup running back Darrel Williams has already been ruled out. Arizona will now have Benjamin as the lead back going into Seattle. So far this year, the Seahawks’ run defense has allowed 131 yards per game to opposing teams running backs. Kliff Kingsbury will have to turn to Benjamin this weekend, which could set up the 23-year-old for a breakout performance this weekend against Seattle. Without Conner or Williams, player props this weekend for Benjamin should have extreme value based on the usage he will receive against the Seahawks.
Alec Pierce OVER 48.5 Receiving Yards vs JAC
In recent weeks for the Colts, the rookie wide receiver from Cincinnati has been a big part of their offense. Alec Pierce started the season slow with an injury and adjusting to the NFL. However, in recent weeks Pierce has been one of Matt Ryan‘s favorite targets to go to. Last week, Pierce saw nine targets against Denver for 81 yards. Pierce hasn’t had a game under 60 receiving yards in the past three weeks. Going into this week, the rookie wide receiver shouldn’t see his production go down. Indianapolis faces a middle-of-the-pack Jaguars pass defense which causes no concern. With Ryan starting to target Pierce more and more each week, this player prop is one of my favorites.
Hopefully, these player props play out as projected as we try to move past the .500 mark once again with our player props for Week 6. Once again, you can tail these plays at your own risk, or fade me and play the complete opposite. None of these players are the biggest names in the league, so hopefully, we find great value across the board. Check back in next week to see how we did, and to find out the plays for next week.
