2021 MVP Predictions
Justin Edmonds: Associated Press

2021 NFL MVP Predictions Heading Into The Season

Quarterback is the most important position in football and an elite quarterback is a team’s most valuable asset. This year’s MVP conversation is a three-horse race between Josh Allen, Aaron Rodgers, and Patrick Mahomes, though Russell Wilson and Matt Stafford have a shot as well. Here are my 2021 NFL MVP predictions heading into the season.

2021 NFL MVP Predictions – #1 Josh Allen

Josh Allen looked the part of an elite quarterback last season, as he carried the Bills to the AFC Championship and posted a ridiculous stat line over the course of the year. Allen threw for over 4,500 yards, 37 touchdowns, and ten interceptions in 2020. Allen’s biggest question was his accuracy but he quickly put that behind him, completing almost 70% of his passes.

After signing a huge extension in the offseason, not only will Allen be in the MVP conversation in years to come but the Bills are going to be a consistent threat in the AFC. Besides the lack of a running game, I like Buffalo’s weapons. Stefon Diggs was a monster last season, Emmanuel Sanders is a cagey veteran, and Dawson Knox is an upcoming tight end. Cole Beasley and his vaccine saga have continued but if he does play in 2021, he is an elite slot receiver.

The trait that gives Allen the edge over Rodgers or Mahomes is the running ability he brings. Without an elite running back last season, Allen was a workhorse in the rushing attack. OC Brian Daboll has shown he is a really smart offensive coach and should propel Allen to win the award in 2021.

2021 NFL MVP Predictions – #2 Aaron Rodgers

The 2020 MVP had an interesting offseason, to say the least. Rodgers made it clear he was upset with Green Bay’s front office and made a lot of people uncomfortable. After rumors swirled that Aaron was going to retire or get traded, he showed up at training camp and has not missed a beat.

Rodgers put on a clinic in 2020, throwing for 48 touchdowns and leading the Packers to their second straight NFC Championship under Matt LaFleur. I think Rodgers takes a small step back in 2021 but that is what I said before 2020 and now I look like an idiot.

2021 NFL MVP Predictions – #3 Patrick Mahomes

I think Mahomes, similar to Rodgers, has gotten to a point where he will only win MVP if he throws for 50 touchdowns. Do not get me wrong, he is going to be in the MVP conversation for the rest of his career and he will almost certainly win another one, but he will have to have a magical season.

Good news for Mahomes: he has an elite offensive coach in Andy Reid, the best tight end in the league in Travis Kelce, and one of the best most dangerous receivers in Tyreek Hill. Mahomes will win another MVP, but probably not in 2021.

2021 NFL MVP Predictions – #4 Russell Wilson

Wilson looked like a lock to win MVP in 2020 as he started off the season scorching hot and eviscerated almost every defense he went up against. Unfortunately for him, Russ cooked a little too much and did not look like the same quarterback towards the end of the season.

Seattle’s offense is loaded with weapons. DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett are one of the best wide receiver duos, Gerald Everett is a solid tight end, and they re-signed Chris Carson, their workhorse running back.

I want Russell Wilson to get one MVP vote so we can stop talking about how he has never received a single MVP vote. Wilson has established himself as one of the league’s best quarterbacks and with new OC Shane Waldron, he should continue his elite quarterback play in 2021.

2021 NFL MVP Predictions – Dark Horse – Matt Stafford

Matt Stafford is finally out of Detroit, as the Rams traded Jared Goff and draft capital to the Lions in the offseason in exchange for Stafford. After a decade playing for the worst franchise in the NFL, Stafford gets an upgrade at almost every level. Sean McVay consistently won 10 games with Jared Goff and even got to a Super Bowl in 2018, so the sky is the limit with McVay and Stafford.

Stafford and the Rams finding success would be a national story. A hometown kid from Cali who leaves dysfunction in Detroit to find success with a competent franchise? People will gravitate towards Stafford’s story, which only helps his case for MVP.

If he can be an elite quarterback and this team wins 11 or 12 games in the toughest division in football, mark my words, Stafford will garner some votes.

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