The NFL week 5 betting lines are set. If you’re looking for the best betting advice on the web, then you’ve come to the right place. Andrew beat me last week, going 11-4 while I went 10-5. No more time to beat around the bush. Let’s get to the picks.
Results Through Week 4
Jackson: 38-25 (60%)
Andrew: 26-21 (55%)
Jackson
Tampa Bay @ Chicago
TB -3.5
Honestly, I do not understand how Chicago is 3-1. They are not a great team, and this week they will remind everyone exactly that—Bucs with the win and cover.
Arizona @ New York Jets
ARI -7
While Arizona has hit a bit of a snag, I trust them a lot more than I do the Jets. Hopkins should feast against this terrible secondary. This could become a bloodbath.
Carolina @ Atlanta
CAR +2
Carolina hasn’t played terribly. They’ve picked it up the past two weeks and are showing some fight. Atlanta might be a sneaky tank team trying to swoop in and win the Trevor Lawrence contest. Even if the Panthers lose, they cover.
Las Vegas @ Kansas City
LV +12
Call me crazy, but I think the Raiders can keep it to within 10. There’s just something about Kansas City not playing exceptionally well against division appoints.
Philadelphia @ Pittsburgh
PIT -7
This may be a lost season for the Eagles. Big Ben gets an extra week of rest, and the Steelers get an extra week of preparation. Easy cover.
Los Angeles Rams @ Washington
LAR -7.5
The decision to bench Haskins was not a great one. Either don’t play him till later in the season when you think he’s ready, or let him play. If you’re not confident in him, then let him play to keep some trade value. Now he has none. Washing will get punished for this.
Cincinnati @ Baltimore
CIN +12.5
This should be an excellent game. Burrow has shown a lot of growth during his short amount of time in the league. I’m not going to go out on a limb and say they pull off the upset, but I think they can keep it under 12.
Jacksonville @ Houston
Jacksonville +6.5
Houston is just not a good football team. Despite O’Brien finally being fired, this team, outside of Watson, is not good. Jacksonville may even outright win this one.
Miami @ San Francisco
MIA +9
Even though Miami is not a playoff team, +9 is disrespectful. I think Miami could win this outright. At the very least, they cover.
Indianapolis @ Cleveland
CLE +1.5
The Browns exploded last week. They finally looked like the Browns everyone thought they were gonna be last year. I’m fulling confident they’ll find a way to screw up later down the line, but they don’t here.
New York Giants @ Dallas
DAL -9.5
While both the Giants and Cowboys have terrible defenses, at least the Cowboys have a pretty good offense. Dak is the league leader in passing yards, but it’s pretty meaningless at this point. I’ll ride with Jerry on this one.
Denver @ New England
DEN +11
If Cam doesn’t play Sunday, which he probably won’t, then this will be one ugly, low scoring game. Low scoring, close, and Denver covers.
Minnesota @ Seattle
SEA -7
Wilson and the Seahawks are hot right now. He very well may be the league MVP if he keeps this up. Stay with the hot hand.
Los Angeles Charges @ New Orleans
LAC +8.5
This is another one where I think my pick to cover loses. Herbert has played great, and each of their losses have been really close. I think that trend continues here.
Andrew
Tampa Bay @ Chicago
TB -3.5
While both teams are 3-1, they’re far from equal. I trust Tom Brady more, especially with all the weapons around him than Nick Foles and Mitch Trubisky. -3.5? Yes, please. Bucs in a landslide.
Arizona @ New York Jets
ARI -7
The Jets break my heart week in and week out. Last week was no exception. Adam Gase ruined any chances of earning New York’s first, possibly only, victory of the season. Arizona had a down week; look for them to take it out on the Jets. Things are going to get ugly, folks.
Carolina @ Atlanta
CAR +2
I said it last week, and I’ll repeat it. The Panthers can surprise any team, yet they come into this game as a +2 against a winless Falcons team. This is some sick joke. Take the Panthers are run with big money, it’s gonna be a HUGE payout.
Las Vegas @ Kansas City
KC -12
Not even a question. Chiefs with the spread. Next.
Philadelphia @ Pittsburgh
PIT -7
Hurray, the Eagles won a game against the JV 49ers. Shame, that win streak ends at one. Steelers will ravage Philly, especially after an extended break.
Los Angeles Rams @ Washington
LAR -7.5
No way Kyle Allen makes his season debut against a good Rams defense and walks out victorious. LA with the spread.
Cincinnati @ Baltimore
BAL -12.5
Joe Mixon WENT OFF last week. A monster week on every level. Wow. Joe Burrow earned his first professional victory. Shame, because he won’t know the feeling of two in a row for at least another few weeks. Lamar Jackson is on the warpath back to the playoffs.
Jacksonville @ Houston
Jacksonville +6.5
Bye-bye Bill O’Brien. Is this the week Deshaun Watson calls every play how he sees fit? If so, scary. But -6.5 for Houston feels a bit much. Look for the Texans to win, but James Robinson to rush his team to cover the spread.
Miami @ San Francisco
SF -9
Don’t bother betting on this game, its a crapshoot—49ers with the money line.
Indianapolis @ Cleveland
CLE +1.5
Cleveland surprised me last week. They surprised everyone by thrashing the Cowboys offensively. It’ll be interesting to see if they can repeat last week’s result, without Nick Chubb. We know what Kareem Hunt and Odell Beckham Jr can do when comfortable. The Browns might live up to last seasons hype. Cleveland +1.5
New York Giants @ Dallas
NYG +9.5
0-4 versus 1-3. Oh my. The NFC East has fallen. Dallas is better than their record shows, but how much better remains to be seen. Meanwhile, the Giants are racing the Jets for the first overall pick after both teams selected QB’s in the top-six in the past three years. Cowboys win, but not with a -9.5 point spread.
Denver @ New England
NE -11
If Cam Newton doesn’t play, this game becomes a tiny bit more interesting. But, despite the numerous turnovers from Brian Hoyer and Jarrett Stidham, the Pats kept the Chiefs in check fro three-quarters last week. Patriots win with the spread as the Broncos trot out a backup at best QB.
Minnesota @ Seattle
SEA -7
No question here. Russell Wilson is playing like the league MVP right now, and the Vikings won’t be the team to stop him.
Los Angeles Charges @ New Orleans
NO -8.5
Justin Herbert has taken some significant strides over the last couple weeks and will eventually get the Chargers to win more than one game in a row. But that won’t start this week as Alvin Kamara will once again lead the Saints. New Orleans wins, but LA keeps it close.
