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The UFC is back in action with UFC Vegas 84. The holiday break is over which means it is time to place bets on the upcoming event. Here are three of the best bets you can make on UFC Vegas 84.
*All lines are taken from Draft Kings and are accurate as of 2:00 p.m. on Friday, Jan. 12.*
The first bet for UFC Vegas 84 is for Jim Miller to beat Gabriel Benitez. Miller is currently a -148 favorite while Benitez is a +124 underdog.
I think this will be a close fight. In the early moments, there should be heavy striking exchanges. On the feet, both fighters have similar approaches. For the most part, they are heavy boxers that supplement their hands with kicks. Benitez does have a better and more kick game, however.
Ultimately, I think the deciding factor in this fight will be toughness and durability. The strengths in those categories go to Miller. Despite being older, he is still incredibly tough, fights hard and does not get finished often.
Miller will also hold a grappling edge in this fight. I doubt that he offensively grapples for a large portion of this bout; however, he does have the potential of landing a submission in a scramble.
The second bet for UFC Vegas 84 is for Mario Bautista to beat Ricky Simon. Bautista is a +154 underdog while Simon is a –185.
I believe this is a much closer fight than the line suggests. Simon is understandably highly respected for his offensive wrestling and powerful boxing. The problem is that he has not combined those skills to become an elite fighter despite having all the talent required. On the other side, I think Bautista is underrated. I respect his defensive grappling, volume, and ability to win a close fight.
I foresee Bautista having success defending Simon’s wrestling. I do not think he will be perfect, but he should be good enough. On the feet, I trust Bautista to throw with more volume and edge out the close rounds. Those are strong enough reasons to make a play on a +154 underdog.
The final bet that I like for UFC Vegas 84 is for Bruno Ferreira to beat Phil Hawes. Ferreira is lined as a -130 favorite while Hawes is a +110 underdog.
The logic of this bet is pretty simple. I am expecting Ferreira and Hawes to exchange heavy shots on the feet. In all honesty, Hawes is the better and more technical fighter. The issue is that he does not have a chin. That is a pretty big issue. In all likelihood, he will be winning this fight until Ferreira lands a big shot. I am more than willing to lay -130 with a power puncher against a suspect chin.
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