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UFC Vegas 64 is not a bad card if you are looking to place a couple of bets. The card has a few closely-lined fights with live underdogs. Plus, there are some solid props that have value. Here are three of the best bets for UFC Vegas 64.
*All lines are taken from FanDuel and are accurate as of 11:30 P.M. on Friday, Nov. 4.*
Marina Rodriguez will fight Amanda Lemos in the main event of UFC Vegas 64. The simple explanation of this bet is that you are getting a -235 favorite to win the fight with their most likely outcome at +160. Rodriguez has won six fights in the UFC and she has won five of those fights via decision. Lemos is a worthy opponent. This bet will not be easy. However, Lemos is a finisher. If Lemos wins this fight, it will likely be by finish. With that in mind, Rodriguez’s easiest path to victory is to play it safe by outpointing Lemos and avoiding the power strikes. In total, Rodriguez tends to win by decision, and, in theory, against Lemos, her easier path to victory is a decision win. With those factors in mind, I will take Rodriguez to win by decision at +160.
In the co-main event of UFC Vegas 64, Daniel Rodriguez will fight Neil Magny. This fight will be close and competitive. The line reflects that as Rodriguez sits at -102 while Magny is -125. I will gladly take Rodriguez. He is going to be far better on the feet. His boxing combinations and strong jab should help him control the fight while it is standing. Plus, Magny has been in the UFC for nearly 10 years and it appears like he is beginning to slow down. That should help Rodriguez land strikes and potentially find a finish. Rodriguez will have to avoid the clinch and grappling of Magny which will not be easy, but at worst, he can win rounds with his striking. I will take Rodriguez at -102.
Let me be frank, putting money on Josh Parisian does not feel great; however, betting against Chase Sherman does. At UFC Vegas 64, there is an opportunity to bet against Sherman while he sits as the favorite. Parisian is that opportunity. Plus, Parisian is a bad matchup for Sherman. Sherman has solid boxing, but he is not the best against wrestlers. In this bout, Parisian should be able to get on the inside and land some takedowns. If he can, he will be able to wear on Sherman and deal damage. Once again, Parisian is not great. After all, he is 2-2 in the UFC. However, Sherman is 4-9. I feel like I would be doing myself a disservice to not put a bet on Parisian at +108.
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