UFC Atlantic City Best Bets
The UFC is in Atlantic City, New Jersey, and brought a solid night of fights. The card features a handful of interesting matchups with good betting value. Here are three of the best bets you can make for UFC Atlantic City.
*All lines are taken from DraftKings and are accurate as of 11:00 a.m. on Friday, March 29.*
Joaquin Buckley -108
The first bet I like for UFC Atlantic City is Joaquin Buckley to beat Vicente Luque. The bout is lined extremely close as Buckley sits at -108 while Luque is -112.
I have two serious concerns with Luque in this fight. The first is that he suffered a brain hemorrhage in 2022. In his return, he changed his fighting style and fought much more cautiously. That is a stark difference from his previous brawling style. Secondly, Luque has historically struggled with southpaws. Buckley is a powerful southpaw and throws his left hand from various angles. The combination of having concerns about Luque’s willingness and ability to strike combined with his struggles against southpaws forces me to side with Buckley.
If Luque opts to grapple, he will have an advantage in that realm. Buckley has improved his grappling and is very physical at welterweight. The hope is that his defensive grappling is strong enough to survive and limit control time.
At -108, Buckley is a strong bet for UFC Atlantic City. The concerns with Luque are worrisome and worth fading.
Sedriques Dumas +180
The second bet for UFC Atlantic City that stands out is Sedriques Dumas to beat Nurlston Ruziboev. Dumas is a +180 underdog while Ruziboev is a -218 favorite.
I have a hard time siding with Ruziboev as a -218 favorite. In his career, he has fought a lot of terrible opponents and has a bunch of quick finishes. It is difficult to line him as a sizable favorite considering all the unknowns in his skills.
I also like that Dumas has a similar frame to Ruziboev. At six-foot-five, Ruziboev usually has a massive height advantage. In this fight, Dumas is six-foot-two and has a three-inch reach advantage.
Furthermore, Dumas has picked up two decision wins in the UFC. On the regional scene, Ruziboev went 2-6 in fights that went to the scorecards. If this goes three rounds, it is better to be sitting with a Dumas ticket.
Ultimately, there are a lot of unknowns with Ruziboev and we know Dumas can match his length and win decisions. That is enough to suggest Dumas can cash as a big underdog. At +180, Dumas is a good bet for UFC Atlantic City
Bill Algeo -3.5 -115
The final bet I like from UFC Atlantic City is for Bill Algeo to cover the -3.5-point spread against Kyle Nelson. That prop is currently lined at -115.
I like this matchup for Algeo. In this fight, he holds an advantage in length, movement, footwork, and volume. That combination can allow Algeo to sit on the outside and repeatedly land. I expect Algeo to land a ton of jabs while kicking to the body.
In the past, Nelson struggled with cardio. That concern is largely in the rear-view mirror; however, Algeo’s bodywork and volume could wear on Nelson and force those concerns to reappear.
If Algeo sits on the outside and outstrikes Nelson, he can walk away covering the spread on the judges’ scorecards. If Nelson gasses out in the process, Algeo can land a finish and cover. The fact that Algeo has several paths to cover the spread makes it a solid bet for UFC Atlantic City.
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