SimBull MLB: Best and Worst Value Buys for Initial Share Offering

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Here’s a look at the best and worst value buys for SimBull MLB as the shares become available to the public.

Calculating SimBull MLB Value

What’s great about SimBull is that there are multiple ways to make money. You can let the value of your shares appreciate just like a normal stock, or you can collect payouts when the teams you hold win games. For SimBull MLB, the win payouts are $0.05 per win.

Here’s how I evaluated what good (or bad) value is. There are only two factors that matter: share value and wins. With MLB releasing the 2021 win total over/under via their Instagram, we now have both variables needed to determine the best value buys.

The calculation works as follows. I don’t have any interest in trying to guess which shares will appreciate and depreciate. What I can count on, however, are the win payments. The best value is then determined through the following question: how much money am I paying per win? Through the cost per win, which is calculated by dividing the current share price by the projected win total, I can then also calculate what the projected return on investment will be for each team based on a win payout of $0.05.

SimBull MLB: Worst Value Buys

5) Milwaukee Brewers

• Current Share Price: $28.34
• Projected 2021 Win Total: 83.5
• Cost Per Win: $0.339
• Projected Return on Investment: 14.7%

4) Chicago Cubs

• Current Share Price: $26.98
• Projected 2021 Win Total: 78.5
• Cost Per Win: $0.344
• Projected Return on Investment: 14.5%

3) San Diego Padres

• Current Share Price: $33.68
• Projected 2021 Win Total: 94.5
• Cost Per Win: $0.356
• Projected Return on Investment: 14.0%

2) Los Angeles Dodgers

• Current Share Price: $36.64
• Projected 2021 Win Total: 102.5
• Cost Per Win: $0.357
• Projected Return on Investment: 14.0%

1) New York Yankees

• Current Share Price: $36.49
• Projected 2021 Win Total: 95.5
• Cost Per Win: $0.382
• Projected Return on Investment: 13.1%

SimBull MLB: Best Value Buys

5) San Francisco Giants and Kansas City Royals (tie)

• Current Share Price: $21.23 and $20.67
• Projected 2021 Win Total: 75.5 and 73.5
• Cost Per Win: $0.281 for each
• Projected Return on Investment: 17.8% for each

4) Arizona Diamondbacks

• Current Share Price: $20.85
• Projected 2021 Win Total: 75.5
• Cost Per Win: $0.276
• Projected Return on Investment: 18.1%

3) Miami Marlins

• Current Share Price: $19.40
• Projected 2021 Win Total: 70.5
• Cost Per Win: $0.275
• Projected Return on Investment: 18.2%

2) Detroit Tigers

• Current Share Price: $18.29
• Projected 2021 Win Total: 69.5
• Cost Per Win: $0.263
• Projected Return on Investment: 19.0%

1) Seattle Mariners

• Current Share Price: $18.89
• Projected 2021 Win Total: 72.5
• Cost Per Win: $0.261
• Projected Return on Investment: 19.2%

A Quick Disclaimer

I want to clearly communicate that this is all my opinion and my individual assessment of value. I am not a financial advisor. Be smart with how you invest your money. My formula does not factor in the possibility of share appreciation or depreciation, it is merely a return on investment calculation based solely on the fixed value of win payouts. For these numbers to hold, each team needs to reach the general vicinity of their projected win total. Increase or decrease in share value will alter the return on investment, so be sure to make your own assessment of which teams are over-valued or under-valued.

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