3 UFC London Best Bets
The UFC is set to go across the pond for UFC London. The 15-fight event will go down at the O2 Arena in London, England. The card has a lot of intriguing fights which provides some solid betting opportunities. Let’s dive into UFC London and discuss three of the best bets you can make.
*All lines are taken from DraftKings and are accurate as of 1:30 p.m. on Friday, July 21, 2023.*
Molly McCann ITD +130
At UFC London, Molly McCann will fight Julija Stoliarenko. McCann is currently lined as a -210 favorite while Stoliarenko is a +180 underdog. The fight does not garner a money-line play. Instead, the play is for McCann to finish the fight inside the distance at +130.
On the surface, McCann is simply the much better fighter in this bout. That can be seen in the difference in each fighter’s record. McCann is 6-4 in the UFC while Stoliarenko is 1-5 in the promotion.
That said, there is a lot more to a fight than records. This bout should be one-way traffic if McCann can avoid Stoliarenko’s armbar. That is easier said than done, but Stoliarneko does not have elite takedowns which will make it easier for McCann to keep the fight standing. On the feet, McCann is a much better striker and she should be able to land powerful hooks. Furthermore, McCann throws a ton of volume and aggressively hunts finishes. If she can hurt Stoliarenko, she should be able to find the finish.
Outside of the skills, this will be Stoliarneko’s first fight at flyweight. Previously, she spent the majority of her career at bantamweight. That is not exactly promising considering she fainted while attempting to make 135 pounds.
This bet will be the first bet for UFC London. To be clear, McCann has all the tools to finish this fight even if Stoliarenko has a good weight cut, though that does provide a potential factor in our favor which only strengthens an already good bet.
Andre Muniz ITD +100
At UFC London, Andre Muniz will fight Paul Craig. Muniz is currently lined as a -215 favorite while Craig is a +185 underdog. I am interested in betting Muniz to win the fight inside the distance at +100.
Muniz and Craig are both fighters that rarely go to decision. In 21 combined UFC fights, these two fighters have only gone to the judges’ scorecards three times. I am expecting a high pace with a lot of powerful exchanges on the feet and submission attempts on the ground.
I do lean toward betting on Muniz because he has the upside to finish this fight on the feet or on the ground. In striking exchanges, Muniz has much more power and Craig does not have a great chin. On the ground, Muniz is capable of landing submissions from more positions while Craig hunts submissions off his back.
This will also be Craig’s first fight at middleweight. Previously, he fought his entire career at light heavyweight. I do not like this weight drop for Craig considering he is 35-years-old and is coming off a knockout loss. Once again, I think Muniz can finish this fight purely based on the skills at hand, but a poor weight cut will help this bet cash. At +100, this is a bet that I am interested in playing At UFC London.
Makhmud Muradov ITD +120
The final bet for UFC London will be placed on Makhmud Muradov. Muradov is currently lined as a -345 favorite against Bryan Baberena who currently sits as a +265 underdog. I like Muradov to finish the fight at a +120 price tag.
The betting slip for UFC London is filled with fighters that are changing weight classes. That holds true for this bout. In this fight, Barberena is moving up from welterweight to middleweight. I really dislike that move for Barberena. At welterweight, Barberena was not very big and he will be massively undersized at middleweight.
Muradov has the ability to finish this fight on the feet and on the ground. Typically, Muradov likes to use his powerful striking to find a finish. While Barberena is a tough fighter, I do not love his chances in a brawl at a higher weight class.
Barberena is not a great defensive grappler and was submitted in his last two bouts. Yes, that came against great grapplers in Gunnar Nelson and Rafael dos Anjos, but he has never shown great takedown defense. At a higher weight class, those grappling deficiencies should be even more pronounced.
At +120, I really like the idea of closing the UFC London bet slip with Muradov to finish Barberena.
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