Earlier this week, we took a look at some of the best value picks to win the U.S. Open and have the best round. Now, let’s take that one step further and analyze some of the best available prop bets out there for Torrey Pines this weekend.
Everybody loves a good prop bet. Especially the betting websites and sportsbooks. These are usually very poor odds but attract attention for the average better because they are fun to participate in. I’ve scoured through some of the most popular prop bets being offered for the US Open, and I will tell you that there are not a heck of a lot that I like. Here are some good ones that I think can not only be fun to follow but can make you some money too.
Will there be a hole in 1 (No +105):
There is real value in this bet. The odds here have definitely been impacted by recent results. In 2020, there were actually 2 holes in 1, both on the 7th hole at Winged Foot and both in the first round! Patrick Reed and Will Zalatoris each recorded an ace.
The fact of the matter is that over the last 14 U.S. Opens, there have only been 7 holes in 1. And none of these took place at Torrey Pines in 2008. Plus, money is your friend here. I also like will there be 2 holes in 1 (No -500). Over the last 30 years, 2 holes in 1 in the same U.S. Open has happened only 5 times, so I believe there is value in -500.
Winner to Bogey 72nd hole (Yes +600):
I like this bet a lot. How many times have you watched a golf tournament where a player has at least a two-shot lead coming to the last hole. They play very conservatively and end up with a bogey. The odds of this happening seem better than +600. The one thing I am nervous about, though, is that the 18th hole is a Par 5, which makes a bogey a lot less likely. Nonetheless, I would be inclined to put a small amount on the “Yes” and think it is one of the best prop bets available.
Top Players by Country:
A few names popped right out here for me. The top Mexican player (Abraham Ancer -150) was the first. Ancer is only 1 of the 4 Mexcian players to be ranked in the Top 25 in the world. He currently sits at 21 after peaking at 17 a few weeks ago. Ancer is a brilliant ball striker who can actually compete for the title on this course that doesn’t demand you to be a bomber. The only other legitimate chance is Carlos Ortiz, but he’s nowhere close to the player that Ancer is, having recently finished 55th at the PGA, while Ancer was 8th.
Top English Player:
While this is a very hard one to predict because there are many choices, the one that jumps out at me with the most value is Lee Westwood at +1200. There are basically 8 guys that could win this prop: Tyrell Hatton, Paul Casey, Matthew Fitzpatrick, Justin Rose, Tommy Fleetwood, Ian Poulter, Matt Wallace, and Westwood.
Of these guys, Westwood has the best odds. His form has been very good this year, and he is in a great place mentally, having just gotten married last week in Las Vegas and having his new bride on the bag for him once again.
Best Round of the Tournament:
Tony Finau (+2500). While I don’t think Finau has the mental makeup to win this tournament, he has the ability to go low at any time. Nobody can string birdies together like this guy always ranking near the top of the birdie or better percentage leaders. This is a very difficult one to predict because a lot of guys can go low, but Finau jumped out at me immediately.
Enjoy the U.S. Open and best of luck with your wagers!