Week 5 of the 2017 NFL Season is here which means the first real set of bye weeks are set to take place. Atlanta, Denver, New Orleans, and Washington will watch from home as they will get a nice needed week off. There’s still a ton of intrigue heading into this week.
Last week’s game picks took a turn for the worse after a 6-10 showing. That brings the overall record to 36-27 against the spread. If you agree or disagree with my picks, make sure to tweet at me @treydaubert. Let’s not waste any more time with the introduction. Without further ado, here is your week 5 NFL game picks against the spread.
Thursday Night: New England At Tampa Bay (NE -5)
Unlike most NFL fans, my attention will probably be shifted towards the MLB playoffs Thursday night. Anyway, New England is on pace for the worst defense in the history of the NFL. The Pats can’t stop anybody. Therefore give me the Bucs and the points. Tampa has proven to be a really good team this year and is my pick to win the division. Until the Pats show they can play defense, I’m not sure why anyone would pick them to win. Tampa not only covers but wins.
Sunday 1 P.M. ET: Buffalo At Cincinnati (CIN -3)
Wait a minute, a 1-3 team is favored to beat a 3-1 team? While the rest of the world hasn’t caught onto Buffalo yet, I said last week that Sean McDermott has built a winning culture and will be a tough out all year. I even picked them to beat Atlanta last week. Buffalo has always had players but this time have a leader. The Bills have the best defense in football under McDermott allowing 13.5 points per game. The Bills win easily here.
Sunday 1 P.M. ET: New York Jets At Cleveland (CLE -1)
The Browns aren’t just 0-4, they look like they can’t even compete. New York is 2-2 on the season. They can’t even tank right! Wouldn’t it be Jets like to ruin tanking by continuing to win! I’ll take them to beat the Browns. Josh McCown has proved to be a competent quarterback while DeShone Kizer looks as bad as I said he was going to be.
Sunday 1 P.M. ET: Carolina At Detroit (DET -2.5)
I’ve been impressed with the Lions. They should be 4-0 if it wasn’t for a ridiculous overturn on a Golden Tate touchdown. I’ll take the Lions here as they have shown great heart this year. Being home helps and outside of last week, Cam Newton still doesn’t look right. I’ll lean Lions but it figures to be a close game.
Sunday 1 P.M. ET: San Francisco At Indianapolis (IND -1.5)
It’s another dumpster fire game. Jacoby Brissett has played well, he just has no talent around him. On the flip side, Brian Hoyer stinks and has no talent around him. Therefore, the Colts seem to be the pick. In a battle of two bad teams, I would probably advise not betting on this game.
Sunday 1 P.M. ET: Tennessee At Miami (MIA -1)
Marcus Mariota is listed as day-to-day. Vin Scully once said “aren’t we all day-to-day” If Mariota plays, I like the Titans here. Miami hasn’t show an ability to even move the ball. After being shutout 20-0 against a bad Saints defense, I’m not sure how anyone can have faith in the Phins. If Mariota misses this week, all bets are off. This game hinges on Mariota. If he’s in take, the Titans. If he’s out, I sure am not betting on Matt Cassel.
Sunday 1 P.M. ET: Los Angles Chargers At New York Giants (NYG -3.5)
It’s a battle of the winless! The Giants still haven’t won a game since those clowns took that picture on the boat in Miami. The Chargers hired a running back coach to run the franchise. Both teams are a mess but Vegas is much more optimistic about the Giants by the point spread. New York is starting to figure out the missing pieces inserting D.J. Fluker on the offensive line and integrating Wayne Gallman in the run game. Giants win big.
Sunday 1 P.M. ET: Arizona At Philadelphia (PHI -6.5)
I’m going to take the Eagles to not only win but also cover the 6.5 point spread. Carson Wentz is a wizard out there and is a true franchise quarterback. Philly also leads the NFL in time of possession (35:28 per game). You’re going to dominate a lot of games like that. With Pederson integrating the run game more, the Eagles look like Super Bowl contenders. Eagles win big over an Arizona team that needs a new signal caller.
Sunday 1 P.M. ET: Jacksonville At Pittsburgh (PIT -8)
The Steelers struggle with inferior competition. That fault is within Mike Tomlin for creating a roller coaster atmosphere. We saw that earlier this year when the Steelers lost a game they should have won against the Bears. That happens far too often with Tomlin teams. Here comes to .500 Jags which means the Steelers will play poorly. Leonard Fournette will help milk the clock and keep the game close. Take the Jags and the points.
Sunday 4:05 P.M. ET: Seattle At Los Angeles Rams (LAR -1)
Can we please slow down on the Rams? Do you realize the Rams were 3-1 last year too right? Sure the Rams are improved but they aren’t in Seattle’s class. Jared Goff has been much improved with Sean McVay but he still is not a franchise quarterback. His weakest part of his game is playing against pressure. The Redskins were able to apply that and he struggled. What do you think is going to happen with Seattle’s front 7?
Sunday 4:05 P.M. ET: Baltimore At Oakland (OAK -2.5)
E.J. Manuel gets the start for Oakland with Derek Carr on the shelf. Did you know he is the only quarterback in the history of the NFL to lose in three different countries? Yes, he’s lost in the USA, UK, and Canada. I’m not taking Manuel to get the job done against a pretty darn good Ravens defense. With Michael Crabtree also likely out, Oakland’s offense may struggle to put up any points. I like Baltimore to bounce back and win here.
Sunday 4:25 P.M. ET: Green Bay At Dallas (DAL -2)
It’s a rematch of the Divisional playoff game where Aaron Rodgers went to JARED Cook and pulled off the crazy win. This game feels like it did a year ago, a complete toss-up. Will I bet on this game? No way. It could go either way but I’ll take the Pack since I’m forced to pick someone.
Sunday Night: Kansas City At Houston (KC -1)
Houston is going to start to really take over the AFC South with Deshaun Watson at the helm. After putting up 57 points against the Titans, it seems crazy to take the Chiefs. Yes, the Chiefs are undefeated. They did, however, really struggle with Washington’s pass rush. I expect J.J. Watt and those fellas to create some noise. Houston wins.
Monday Night: Minnesota At Chicago (MIN -3.5)
Monday night is the day we get to find out how bad Mitchell Trubisky is. He will officially replace Mike Glennon as the starter. To put Trubisky out on his first start against one of the best defenses in the NFL is absurd. Good luck Trubisky, you’re going to need it. Vikings win big.