UFC Vegas 100 Best Bets

UFC Vegas 100 Best Bets

It is time to place some bets for UFC Vegas 100. A bevy of cancellations caused this event to be a smaller fight card; however, there are still opportunities to place good bets. Here are three of the best bets you can make for UFC Vegas 100.

Gillian Robertson ITD -135

At UFC Vegas 100, Gillian Robertson is heavily favored to beat Luana Pinheiro. The sportsbook has Robertson lined as a -380 favorite while Pinheiro is a +300 underdog. I am siding with the favorite as well, but the moneyline is unplayable. I will take Robertson to finish that at -135.

Robertson has clear advantages in this fight that should allow her to finish the fight. The most potent are her grappling, strength, and cardio. Pinheiro will come out aggressive but she can not keep pace for three rounds. Once she begins to tire, Robertson will land takedowns and get to dominant positions. That will allow her to throw damaging strikes or attempt submissions. The path to a finish is clear.

This is not a life-changing bet. After all, it is lined at -135. Still, a high percentage outcome. Robertson should be able to dominate this fight and get the finish. That makes her inside-the-distance prop one of my favorite bets for UFC Vegas 100.

Denise Gomes ITD +215

The second bet for UFC Vegas 100 is another inside-the-distance bet. I like Denise Gomes to finish Karolina Kowalkiewicz. Gomes is a massive -520 favorite, but her finish prop sits at +215. That is a great value considering the circumstances.

Frankly, this line does not make much sense to me. Gomes is an aggressive fighter who finishes fights. In the UFC, two of her three wins have come by finish. In her career, six of her nine wins were finishes. This is a fighter that finishes fights consistently.

At the same time, Kowalkiewicz is a 39-year-old who has only defeated middling opponents in her current run of fights. In her most recent fight, she was dominated by Iasmin Lucindo. It is a surprise that she was not finished in that fight. I would say that Lucindo is a better fighter than Gomes, but the former has much better finish instincts and more power. That should allow her to land a finished victory.

At +215, Gomes to win inside the distance is a great bet for UFC Vegas 100. The odds are simply too high considering Gomes’ finishing ability and Kowalkiewicz’s late-career form.

Charles Radtke -166

The final bet for UFC Vegas 100 is a moneyline play. I am taking Charles Radtke to defeat Matthew Semelsberger. The odds currently have Radtke as a -166 favorite while Semelsberger is a +140 underdog.

Radtke has a respectable MMA game. On the feet, he has good hands and lands with power. Plus, he has shown the ability to mix in wrestling and have success on the ground. Overall, he is a well-rounded fighter. This is especially evident when he is booked against unranked competition.

In this matchup, Radtke will be the cleaner striker and better grappler. In order for Semelsberger to win, he will have to create a chaotic fight that allows him to land big shots. I do not think that is impossible; however, I do not think it is as likely as the odds suggest.

A bet on Radtke is a solid moneyline play for UFC Vegas 100. The card does not feature many favorites with a playable price, but there is a chance to side with the favorite in this matchup.

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