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The tight end position is hard to find reliable options when it comes to fantasy. Mark Andrews has been a top five option at the position the last two years. However, it may be fair to question how long Andrews can maintain his level of success in the league’s goofiest offense. How much longer can we trust Andrews as long as he’s paired with Lamar Jackson?
The sad truth for any receiving option in Baltimore’s offense faces two major challenges.
A: Jackson is a piss poor pure thrower.
B: Nobody runs the ball more than the Ravens creating less opportunities for receivers to put up numbers.
How much does touchdown luck play a factor in fantasy success? Is it luck or are touchdowns a sustainable metric that should fall in line every year? It’s an important question because if Andrews isn’t catching touchdowns, he’s virtually worthless, at least way overvalued.
Over the last two years, Andrews has caught 17 touchdowns. If things go well, Andrews could have another big touchdown season. The problem is Baltimore keeps trying to beef up it’s wide receiver room. Rashod Bateman, Tylan Wallace, and Sammy Watkins all join the roster this year.
A year ago, it was mostly the Andrews and Marquise Brown show. Baltimore has more options and could further thin Andrews’ already small target share. That has to be a big red flag.
Baltimore ranked 32nd in the NFL in pass attempts in 2020. That’s never going to change as long as Lamar Jackson is the quarterback. As JK Dobbins continues to take steps forward, some of those Andrews touchdowns could shift to the former Ohio State running back. If touchdown luck is real, one of these years, Andrews will likely fall flat on his face eventually as a top tier fantasy tight end.
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