The 2017 season continues with NFL week 7 action. Houston and Detroit sit idle this week having their byes. However, there is still a ton of exciting games out there to watch.
Last Week’s game picks turned into a below average 6-8 week. That brings my overall season total to a fantastic record of 51-40. If that were a baseball team’s record, things would be looking pretty good. If you’re not taking my advice on my picks against the spread, well, then you’re playing yourself. If you agree or disagree with my picks, make sure to tweet at me @treydaubert. Let’s not waste any more time with the introduction. Without further ado, here is your week 6 NFL game picks against the spread.
Thursday Night: Kansas City At Oakland (KC -3)
I’m going to take the Raiders here because it just seems so obvious that this is a trap game. Despite the fact that Amari Cooper is in the witness protection program and can’t be found, Oakland is 6-2 against the spread in their last 8 home games. The Chiefs up until last week have been playing like world beaters while the Raiders just got dunked on by the anemic Chargers. With this only being a three-point spread, something doesn’t add up. Now that Derek Carr is healthy, look for the Raiders to take this one at home.
Sunday 1 P.M. ET: Tampa Bay At Buffalo (EVEN)
As of now, this game is tough to project as Jameis Winston’s status remains very unclear. It sounds like the AC joint injury is just a pain management thing that he can play through. However, Tampa may proceed with safe caution and hold him out a week. If Tampa plays I would lean Tampa but at this point, no one knows how to project this game.
Sunday 1 P.M. ET: Carolina At Chicago (CAR -3)
Chicago found a way to beat Baltimore last week despite the fact that Mitchell Trubisky only completed 8 passes in regulation and overtime. Chicago was able to run the ball with great success but the bread and butter of the Panthers defense is their defensive line with Star Lotulelei and Kawaan Short. For a spread that’s only three and Chicago coming off a rare win, Carolina seems like the easy choice.
Sunday 1 P.M. ET: Tennessee Titans At Cleveland (TEN -6)
Cleveland isn’t just bad, they can’t even cover. The Browns are 1-5 against the spread only covering in week one against the rollercoaster Steelers. Let’s not waste any time then, take the Titans.
Sunday 1 P.M. ET: New Orleans At Green Bay (NO -4.5)
New Orleans was actually 4.5 point favorites over the Lions a week ago. I took them anxiously and they put up a 50 burger. Now that Aaron Rodgers is out for the season, I don’t like the Packers chances in a shootout against a high powered Saints offense. With the weather still fairly nice, the Packers home field advantage isn’t in full effect yet. Take the Saints.
Sunday 1 P.M. ET: Jacksonville At Indianapolis (JAX -3.5)
The Jags have one way to beat you by running the ball. The problem is their running back Leonard Fournette is questionable with a foot injury. Chris Ivory is a nice backup but he’s not Fournette. The Jags will have to force turnovers if they have any chance to win but Jacoby Brissett has done a nice job of protecting the ball. It figures to be a close game so I’ll side with the points here.
Sunday 1 P.M. ET: Arizona At Los Angeles Rams (LAR -3.5)
Jared Goff finally showed the real version of himself against the Jags throwing for 124 yards. Carson Palmer also has been playing better as of late. Maybe part of that is the new addition of Adrian Peterson rushing for 134 yards last week. In a division game that figures to be close, take the points. You will win a lot of bets just taking the points.
Sunday 1 P.M. ET: New York Jets At Miami (MIA -3)
Another division game here in week 7. The AFC wild-card spots seem to be wide open with both teams having similar play styles. Both teams lean on the run with below average quarterbacks. Miami’s defense is probably the difference here. Miami ranks 4th in yards allowed and 3rd in points allowed (16.8). Miami wins and covers while leaning on Jay Ajayi.
Sunday 1 P.M. ET: Baltimore At Minnesota (MIN -5.5)
I actually like the Ravens here. Baltimore is in win-now mode and has a pretty stingy defense in their own right. Will Case Keenum beat the Ravens by more than 5? I’m not so sure. The Ravens are 11th in points allowed (20.7). Baltimore is averaging 4.3 yards per rush and has been better since Alex Collins got into the mix. Flacco is a mystery bag and seems due for a big performance.
Sunday 4:05 P.M. ET: Dallas At San Francisco (DAL -6)
San Francisco is unbeaten but has only lost to one team all year by more than a field goal. Sorry, my friends but that can’t continue against a Dallas team that needs to kick it in gear. With Dallas fresh off a bye week and Zeke Elliot in game action, Dallas likely pummels the 49ers. Sean Lee is also expected to return who holds the keys to the Cowboys defense.
Sunday 4:25 P.M. ET: Seattle At New York Giants (SEA -5.5)
New York is back! With the insertion of D.J. Fluker along the offensive line, New York looks like a completely different football team. Ben McAdoo also gave up play calling which seems like a smart idea. Let’s face it; Seattle might have a worse offensive line than the Giants. Why are they big favorites here? In New York where both defenses are stingy, I like Eli and the Giants to win.
Sunday 4:25 P.M. ET: Cincinnati At Pittsburgh (PIT -5.5)
This just seems like one of those games where Pittsburgh dominates for three hours then goes out and forgets how to play the next week. Historically under Tomlin and Big Ben, the Steelers are that dominating team at home. In a big division game with a chance to put a stranglehold over the AFC North, the Steelers probably don’t disappoint.
Sunday 4:25 P.M. ET: Denver At San Diego (EVEN)
A division battle of first-year head coaches that don’t seem to know quite what they’re doing. Denver clearly at least has the better defense and I sure am not going to take the running back coach guru in LA. Ok, I’m done talking about this boring game take Denver.
Sunday Night: Atlanta At New England (NE -3)
The Super Bowl rematch that everyone has been waiting for? Well, both teams have underachieved thus far. Matt Ryan has thrown 6 interceptions already while throwing just 7 all year. Julio Jones still hasn’t found the end zone this year. Trying to beat Bill Belichick at home probably doesn’t help their struggles either. Betting against the Pats doesn’t seem too smart.
Monday Night: Washington At Philadelphia (PHI -5)
Philly has proved to be the kings of the NFC at the moment but don’t sleep on the Skins. Washington played them tough the first go around losing by just a field goal. I think we could be looking at a similar type of game. Ryan Kerrigan and Preston Smith make up the pass rush to fluster Carson Wentz. Eagles still find a way to win as they lead in third-down percentage and time of possession but don’t win by more than 5.