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Brice Sensabaugh 2023 NBA Draft Profile

Brice Sensabaugh 2023 NBA Draft Profile
Photo Credit – Rich Schultz/Getty Images

Brice Sensabaugh 2023 NBA Draft Profile

Brice Sensabaugh 2023 NBA Draft Profile:

Height/Weight/Age: 6’6″/235 lbs/19 years old

Primary Position: Shooting Guard

Freshman Season Stats: 16.3 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 1.2 APG, 48.0 FG%, 40.5 3P%, 83.0 FT%, 0.5 SPG, 0.4 BPG, 2.0 TOPG

Strengths: Shooting, Tough Shot-Making, Strength

Brice Sensabaugh is one of the best pure shooters in the 2023 NBA Draft class. Off the catch, off movement or off the dribble, Sensabaugh can knock it down with ease. Last season he shot 40.5% (60-of-148) from deep and 45.8% (55-of-120) on catch-and-shoot attempts. He’ll be a great off-ball and complementary piece immediately. He’s a great relocator off-ball and is always seeking out open space.

Sensabaugh is one of the toughest buckets in the class. He’s not only a great off-ball catch-and-shooter but can hit a bevy of mid-range looks too — fadeaways, turnaround fades, pull-up jumpers, touch post shots, you name it. Sensabaugh is pure bottoms on mid-range and difficult looks. With his prowess as a difficult shot-maker, teams should be able to use virtually any action to open shots for him.

Finally, Sensabaugh is one strong guard. At 6-foot-6, 235 pounds, the Ohio State standout was able to bully smaller wings and guards with his physicality. He uses his frame and strength to bump defenders off his line to create enough space to get off his shot. When he gets to the rack, he finishes well through contact.

Weaknesses: Self Creation, Athleticism, Defense

My biggest concern with Sensabaugh is his ability to create separation at the next level. Last season, Sensabaugh showed a solid enough handle to get into the mid-range and create some tough contested looks. But at the NBA level, I question whether he’ll be able to create space at all. He’s a great shooter and tough shot-maker but is incapable of being a primary or secondary ball-handler at the NBA level. I think he can develop into a better playmaker but will likely just be a spot-up shooter immediately.

Sensabaugh’s struggles to create separation and space in isolation are in part due to his lack of elite athleticism. He isn’t an insane vertical athlete, nor does he have great burst off the dribble. If Sensabaugh is going to succeed as a downhill threat, it’s going to be by using his size and strength to punish smaller defenders.

My final concern with Sensabaugh’s game is his defensive ceiling. Sensabaugh is going to have to defend long wings and quick guards, and I question his ability to hang with them. He wasn’t the most engaged defender last season and struggled off-ball and with containing quick guards on drives. He’s strong and possesses an insane 7-foot-2 wingspan, but mobility-wise he’s limited because of his lack of athleticism.

Best Fits: Houston, Charlotte, San Antonio

Sensabaugh needs to go to a team with a lead playmaker that needs shooting. Houston will likely get a lead ball-handler at the top of the draft and need spacing, as they ranked dead last in 3-point percentage last season. Charlotte ranked 29th in 3-point percentage in 2022-23 and Sensabaugh would be an elite floor spacer alongside LaMelo Ball. San Antonio is at a complete lack of shooting as well. While they lack an elite playmaker, they need all the shooting help they can get.

Player Comparison: Big Gary Trent Jr.

This is meant in no way to disrespect Sensabaugh, but I’ve seen comparisons ranging from DeMar DeRozan to T.J. Warren. I think he’s an elite difficult shot-maker but doesn’t have the isolation tools of a DeRozan or Warren. However, Trent Jr. is a great example of someone who is a limited on-ball creator who still manages to manufacture and make tough looks. Additionally, Trent Jr. is also an elite spot-up shooter too.

Draft Projection: Mid-Late First Round

The issue with drafting Sensabaugh in the lottery or immediately after the lottery is projecting how effective he’ll be in a role outside of pure shooting. You must be a multi-faceted Swiss Army knife in today’s NBA to succeed as a role player. Right now, I don’t think Sensabaugh brings much defense, playmaking or rim pressure to the table. This doesn’t mean he’s incapable of developing into a more well-rounded player, but he is pretty limited as a straight-up shooter right now.

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