UFC Vegas 68 Best Bets
From a betting perspective, UFC Vegas 68 is not very good. For anyone looking to bet on this card- be careful. The main card features a Derrick Lewis fight, which is never good to bet on, and several fights with a bunch of question marks. The prelims do not save us either as they feature the finals of “Road to the UFC”. Those bouts should serve as solid entertainment, but we do not have enough information on those fighters to place a bet. Nonetheless, I managed to find a handful of the best bets for UFC Vegas 68.
*All lines are taken from BetMGM and are accurate as of 2:00 p.m. on Friday, Feb. 3.*
Da Un Jung by KO +100
The UFC Vegas 68 co-main event features a light heavyweight bout between Da Un Jung and Devin Clark. The fight is lined in Jung’s favor as he sits at -250 while Clark is at +200. I am on Jung’s side, but I will take him to win by knockout at +100.
Jung is a well-rounded fighter that has solid boxing. At the same time, Clark has below-average striking defense. In this fight, Clark could opt to wrestle, but Jung has solid takedown defense. Plus, Clark has abandoned his wrestling in previous fights when he struggles to land takedowns early. I expect that Jung will stop Clark’s takedowns early, land solid punches, and eventually finish the fight.
Yusuaku Kinoshita by KO +125
The UFC Vegas 68 main card will open with a welterweight bout between Yusuaku Kinoshita and Adam Fugitt. At -350, Kinoshita is a heavy favorite while Fugitt is a +260 underdog. Once again, I will take the favorite by KO. This time the odds sit at +125.
This will be Kinoshita’s UFC debut, but he looked outstanding on Dana White’s Contender Series (DWCS). In his appearance on the show, he showed massive power, the ability to use feints, and a variety of offensive tools. In this fight, Kinoshita should be able to land power strikes on Fugitt, who is stiff and does not move well. Kinoshita should be able to get inside and land a knockout shot eventually. The only concern here is that Fugitt outwrestles Kinoshita and keeps this fight on the ground. However, that risk is not big enough to dissuade me from taking Kinoshita.
Tatsuro Taira by Submission -140
Among the group of top prospects competing at UFC Vegas 68, Tatsuro Taira may be the best of them all. The betting odds reflect that as he sits as a -1600 favorite while his opponent, Jesus Aguilar, is a +775 underdog. Obviously, I am not advocating playing the -1600 favorite at that price. Instead, I am looking at Taira by submission at -140.
Taira’s grappling looked outstanding in his most recent UFC fight against CJ Vergara at UFC Vegas 62. Taira has good clinch takedowns and can land submissions on the ground. Meanwhile, Aguilar is making his UFC debut after getting a win on DWCS. The issue is that Aguilar did not look UFC-caliber in fight. He made some mistakes on the mat and was nearly submitted before getting a comeback submission against a tired opponent in the third round. In this fight, if Aguilar continues to make mistakes in the grappling, he will be submitted. In conclusion, who have a -1600 favorite who has lethal submissions against a low tier fighter that can get submitted. Sign me up for the Taira sub prop at -140.
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