UFC Paris Best Bets
The UFC best bet series at Vendetta Sports Media is heating up as Anthony Miranda hit on Leon Edwards at +280 in his UFC 278 Best Bet post. Let’s keep that momentum rolling with some good picks for UFC Paris. UFC Paris provides a fresh card with some solid betting opportunities. It is time to hunt some winners, here are three of the best bets for UFC. Plus, to add a cherry on top I threw in a sweet long-shot to finish off.
*All lines are taken from FanDuel and are accurate as of 12:30 p.m. on Friday, Sept 2.*
Robert Whittaker To Win By Decision -120
Robert Whittaker and Marvin Vettori will square off in the UFC Paris co-main event. This fight screams a close decision. Whittaker and Vettori are evenly matched here, but I lean towards Whittaker as he is the more well-rounded fighter. As far as the decision goes, nine of Whittaker’s 15 UFC wins have come by decision. His last finish was back in 2017 against Jacare Souza. Meanwhile, Vettori has never been finished. If you think Whitaker wins this fight, you might as well bet him to win by the decision as that is by far the most likely outcome.
Charles Jourdain To Win -150
Charles Jourdain will fight Nathaniel Wood at UFC Paris. This should be another close and entertaining bout. I expect this fight to mostly take part on the feet. Jourdain and Wood are both very solid strikers. I think Jourdain is slightly better in that avenue. He will have a little more length and more power. With those two attributes to his advantage, Jourdain should be able to deal more damage. This can help him find a finish, but it will also result in winning rounds. While it will be close, getting Jourdain at -150 is a fair price for a rightful favorite.
Nasrat Haqparast To Win By Decision +120
At +120, Nasrat Haqparast to beat John Makdessi by decision is a great bet. This line is an outlier from the rest of the fight’s lines. Haqparast to win is -225, the fight to go the distance is -210, and the over/under is set at 2.5 rounds with a -220 price tag. The bookie is telling you that Haqparast should win and that the fight should go to a decision. Put those two together and you get Haqparast by decision and you get that at plus money. If that is not enough, Haqparast only has one finish victory in his UFC career and that came back in 2019. In addition, Makdessi is quite durable. In 18 UFC fights he has only been finished three times. The most recent of these finishes was back in 2016. I think Haqparast wins by decision and getting that outcome at plus money is a good bet.
Sprinkle of the Week: Tai Tuivasa By KO/TKO +650
I wanted to add a little spice to the UFC Best Bets posts. There is no better way to do that than by finding a long shot to sprinkle some cash on. I am not saying this pick deserves a full-unit bet. Realistically, a quarter unit or less is what you are looking at here. The first ‘sprinkle of the week’ goes to Tai Tuivasa to knockout Ciryl Gane in the UFC Paris main event. At +650 this is worth a sprinkle. I do not think Tuivasa wins, but if he does he wins by knockout. Of his 14 career wins, 13 have come by knockout. Tuivasa by KO at +650 is just too juicy to turn a blind eye to. If you have a bet on Gane in the main event this would be a great hedge piece as well.
