Player Props to Target for the 2022 NFL Season: Week 10
As we enter Week 10 of the NFL season, the picture of the NFL only gets more transparent. Whether that’s seeing what teams are legit or what teams actually stink. As we look back at the player props of the week from Week 9, we suffered our first below .500 record in a while with being 2-3. Only Justin Jefferson and Justin Fields hit last week. The record in our last four weeks now stands at 15-5. With that being said, let’s take a look at my favorite player props for Week 10 of the NFL season.
Derrick Henry OVER 97.5 Rushing Yards vs. DEN
Derrick Henry has been a wagon for most of the season. Once again, the Titans running back leads the league in rushing and has been the only positive aspect of the offense. Henry has rushed over 100 yards in five straight games, averaging 135 yards while also touching the ball nearly 26 times per game.
With Malik Willis starting the past two weeks, Ryan Tannehill should be back under center this week against Denver. The Broncos have allowed the 12th most rushing yards in their past three games with 139 yards. Henry should once again be the workhorse for the Tennessee offense against Denver this week, making this one of the best value player props for this upcoming week.
Dameon Pierce OVER 77.5 Rushing Yards @ NYG
This season, the rookie running back from Florida has been a pleasant surprise for Houston. As of now, Dameon Pierce is two yards behind Travis Etienne as the leading rusher in the 2022 NFL Draft class. Pierce has gone under 78 rushing yards once in the past six weeks for the Texans.
This week, Pierce will be tested against the New York Giants run defense, which allows the ninth-most yards in their last three games. With New York playing poorly against the run, they have been exposed by big runs, allowing 6.3 yards per carry in their last three games, which is the worst in the NFL. Pierce should be able to get enough touches to hit this number, especially if he breaks off a big run as the Giants have commonly seen recently.
JuJu Smith-Schuster OVER 57.5 Receiving Yards vs. JAC
Aside from struggling for two quarters against Tennessee last week, the Kansas City offense has been unstoppable in recent weeks. One big part of that success is JuJu Smith-Schuster, who has been the second option behind Travis Kelce.
Smith-Schuster has broken out for the Chiefs’ in their past three games, averaging 7.3 catches and 108 yards per game. The Chiefs are going to keep the ball in Patrick Mahomes‘ hands, and if Jacksonville doubles Kelce, Smith-Schuster should see another big game. Last week, Jacksonville allowed Davante Adams to go crazy against them in the first half, ending the game with 146 yards.
With the Chiefs having multiple other options on options, it may scare people away from Smith-Schuster. However, he has solidified himself as the second go-to option for the explosive Chiefs offense.
Greg Dulcich OVER 39.5 Receiving Yards @ TEN
Greg Dulcich has been a big part of the Broncos’ offense ever since he made his debut three weeks ago. The third-round rookie tight end from UCLA has moved past Albert Okwuegbunam on the depth chart and has been a big receiver for Russell Wilson. In all three games, Dulcich has gone over 44 yards receiving and has only increased his total week-by-week. Tennessee has allowed tight ends to have success against them this season — opposing tight ends receive 8.5 targets and 69 yards per game. Dulcich should not have any problem reaching this total if Wilson continues to target him this weekend.
Donovan Peoples-Jones Over 3.5 Receptions @ MIA
Donovan Peoples-Jones has been the second option to Amari Cooper for most of the season. Yes, David Njoku has played a huge role and has been having some sort of breakout season. However, he is out once again this week for the Browns. As a result of Njoku’s absence, Peoples-Jones will have an extremely high value for his reception mark this weekend.
So far this season, DPJ has recorded four or more catches in six out of the eight games he’s played, and four or more in five straight weeks. With Cleveland facing Miami this week, the Browns are going to have to throw the ball around to keep up with the high-powered Dolphin offense. Peoples-Jones should see plenty of balls thrown his way, making this a great player prop for the weekend.
Hopefully, we can bounce back this week to get back on track for a profitable week. You could either tail these plays at your own risk, mix, and match or completely fade the plays of the week. However, these plays all have great value as we try to sweep once again. Check back next week as we see how we did with this week’s player props for Week 10 of the NFL season. Also, don’t forget to check back in to look at the best props for the Week 11 slate.
