Following a stint of bad weeks, I am back with another Best Picks article. Week 6 of college football is right around the corner, hosting some of the best matchups of the year. The week is headlined by the Clemson and Miami game, where Clemson is giving 14 points. While Clemson will cover, I am staying away from that game, as the Hurricanes seem to be full of surprises this seasons. Still, there are plenty of games with good betting lines among the ACC and SEC. Here are three of my picks for this weekend’s games in the top conferences in college football.
Florida -6.5 vs. Texas A&M
The Gators offense has dominated in their first two games this season. The Aggies defense just gave up 52 points to Alabama, and their offense has not gotten much going this year. All of these factors tell me that Florida should have plenty of success once again this weekend. Kyle Trask has generated Heisman buzz, and Kyle Pitts is virtually impossible to cover. Florida’s defense has not been the best so far, but their cornerbacks Kalir Elam and Marco Wilson, should keep the Aggies passing game in check. Thus far, Kellen Mond has not impressed, and it will only get more difficult against another top-five team in the country. Give me Florida -6.5 on the road in College Station.
Notre Dame -20.5 vs. Florida State
Returning after a few weeks off due to COVID cases, the Fighting Irish have a favorable matchup at home against a struggling Florida State team. Although they are giving nearly three touchdowns, I see Notre Dame covering the spread. Ian Book has looked serviceable in their previous games, and the defense has performed very well. Notre Dame’s front seven should have a field day on the Seminoles’ weak offensive line. Other than Tamorrion Terry, there are no weapons on Florida State’s offense that should pose a threat to the Irish. While I do not this Florida State will lose by 42 to another (now) division rival, I believe Notre Dame should win by at least 21 points, making them one of the best picks for Saturday.
Tennessee +13.0 vs. Georgia
For my underdog of the week, I am going big and bold. Georgia embarrassed Auburn last Saturday night, so most people are riding the Bulldog wave right now. However, I think that win showcased how overrated Auburn is, rather than how good Georgia is. Yes, they have a dominant defense, but I am nowhere close to sold on that offense yet. Tennessee has a pretty solid defense, highlighted by a strong secondary. They are 2-0 as well, and the Volunteers’ offense has gotten the job done thus far, averaging 33 points per game. Georgia may win the game with their defense, but it will be closer than most think. Tennessee could keep it to a one-score game if they can get the ball moving on offense. Do not be surprised if this game is a nail biter for Georgia fans late in the second half.