The NFL is BACK! The most entertaining and followed sport’s league kicks off with a bang with the reigning Super Bowl champions taking on the high octane Atlanta Falcons. In this post, you will find my 2018 NFL Odds selections.
Since 2016, I have researched and selected every NFL game. Over the last two seasons, I have selected correctly on 64% of my picks. Therefore, making you money over the course of a season if you choose the same. However, if you do follow my picks, I am in no way shape or form responsible for your money. (I appreciate you reading, but I can’t afford that – let’s be honest).
Here is a full list of NFL games, betting odds, and who we recommend taking for opening week in the 2018 season. All odds courtesy of Sports Line.
Thursday, September 6 – 8:20 ET
Atlanta Falcons at Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5)
Somehow, the Philadelphia Eagles got better this offseason. Usually teams, outside of the New England Patriots, experience a Super Bowl hangover. Unfortunately for the Eagles, Carson Wentz is unable to play and the “Luck of the Foles” has run out.
Until Wentz is back in the lineup, I think the Eagles will struggle mightily on offense. The Atlanta Falcons win this football game in a defensive bloodbath.
My Selection: Eagles (-2)
Sunday, September 9 – 1:00 ET
Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5) at Cleveland Browns
Cleveland is going to be a better team this season, I fully believe that. However, even with Bell sitting, the Steelers are the superior team and will cover fairly easily.
My Selection: Steelers (-4)
San Francisco 49ers at Minnesota Vikings (-6)
This is one of the most exciting matchups of the weekend – a highly explosive 49er offense against a nasty, intimidating Viking defense. The Vikings are the better overall team so they should win the football game, but not by a touchdown.
My Selection: Vikings (-5)
Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts (-3)
The Prodigal Son returns. The Colts FINALLY get their heralded quarterback for the 2018 season. Although, we have yet to see how he will hold up for an entire season, it’s only week one.
The new regime of decision-makers on the Colts staff are better than in years past so I’m going with the Colts and the points in this one.
My Selection: Colts (-4)
Buffalo Bills at Baltimore Ravens (-7)
This is my lock game of the week. I like Baltimore and the points.
My Selection: Ravens (-8)
Jacksonville Jaguars (-3) at New York Giants
This is a tough selection for me because I think the Jaguars will regress in 2018. Additionally, I think the New York “football” Giants will be better this season. However, until the Giants prove it to me, I will stick to what history tells me.
My Selection: Jaguars (-2)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints (-9.5)
This is not a tough one for me. The Bucs are in for a rough year.
My Selection: Saints (-10)
Houston Texans at New England Patriots (-6)
Instincts tell me never to go against the Patriots, especially at home, with ample time to prepare, and with the Deshaun Watson coming off ACL surgery.
Watson will be fun to watch, but that offensive line gives me anxiety.
My Selection: Patriots (-7)
Tennessee Titans (-1.5) at Miami Dolphins
I think the Dolphins are one of the worst teams in this league. In contrast, the Titans offense will be much better thanks to offensive guru Matt LaFleur. I like the Titans and the points.
My Selection: Titans (-2)
Sunday, September 9 – 4:05 ET
Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers (-3.5)
The Chargers have the potential to win the AFC this season, despite the injury bug crippling their roster. Additionally, the Chiefs are trending downward. Patrick Mahomes is a showtime quarterback, but that defense needs help.
My Selection: Chargers (-4)
Sunday, September 9 – 4:25 ET
Seattle Seahawks at Denver Broncos (-3)
Another team that is trending downward for me is the Seattle Seahawks. Russell Wilson is clearly a top five quarterback in this league, however, their defense is what scares me.
Denver is another team that is trending upward despite what most experts believe. That defense is looking to return to the dominant force it once was. I don’t think the Broncos have enough firepower to beat the Seahawks handily. If they do, it’ll be by just a few points.
My Selection: Broncos (-2)
Dallas Cowboys at Carolina Panthers (-3)
The Cowboys defense will be better than anticipated – the biggest question mark is how many points can that offense produce?
Year after year, the Panthers raise question marks about how good they will be. With Cam Newton leading the charge, their potential is untapped. However, he struggles mightily with consistency. Therefore making it very difficult to predict their success rate.
My Selection: Panthers (-4)
Washington Redskins at Arizona Cardinals (-1)
Sam Bradford was named the starting quarterback for the Arizona Cardinals yesterday.
With that being said, both of these teams, in my opinion, are trending downward in their division. Washington may be the worst team in the NFC East and the same could be said for Arizona in the NFC West.
I like Alex Smith and I am excited to see what he does in week one.
My Selection: Redskins (-1)
Sunday, September 9 – 8:20 ET
Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (-7.5)
Despite trading for Khalil Mack, I think the Bears still lose this game.
However, the Bears will be a tough battle for an opponent moving forward – that defense is nasty. It’s their quarterback that I’m worried about.
The Packers still have the most talented quarterback this league has ever seen and that defense nailed it’s two cornerback selections.
My Selection: Packers (-8)
Monday, September 10 – 7:10 ET
New York Jets at Detroit Lions (-6.5)
Vegas predicts the Jets to be the second worst team in football and I don’t think that is the case. They will have a better season than anticipated.
Additionally, the Lions never seem to get better or worse, they seem to always stay the same – never great, but never bad. Does that change this season?
My Selection: Lions (-6)
Monday, September 10 – 10:20 ET
Los Angeles Rams (-4) at Oakland Raiders
This may be the easiest pick of the weekend (outside of Ravens vs. Bills).
The Rams continually get better on both sides of the football while the Raiders shipped off their best player in a decade. The Raiders may not win five games this season.
My Selection: Rams (-5)
Next week, we will recap how I did in week one, and go through my week two NFL predictions.